Rystad Energy: European majors strive in industry downturn

Rystad Energy: European majors strive in industry downturn

Three European majors, BP, Eni and Shell have bumped up new project approvals during the recent downturn, a review by the energy research and business intelligence company Rystad Energy shows. 

For projects that have started up since 2014, majors have collectively achieved greenfield costs of $13.50 per barrel of oil equivalent.

These development costs were in addition to their collective $8.80 per barrel of oil equivalent lifting costs from 2017. Rystad Energy’s analysis allocates 100 percent of a project’s cost to the operator executing the project.

Matthew Fitzsimmons, vice president at Rystad Energy, noted, “It is remarkable that BP, Eni and Shell introduced over $109 billion of new greenfield projects below the industry average greenfield cost and still were able to still achieve industry-leading lifting costs in 2017. “

BP invested $6 billion in the Khazzan Phase 1 and Makarem projects in Oman highlighted their execution excellence by achieving greenfield costs below $5 per barrel of oil equivalent.

Conversely, despite starting-up nearly $75 billion worth of project investments, ExxonMobil’s greenfield performance on the PNG LNG Phase 1 and lifting cost performance on Kearl Phase 2 have deteriorated their overall marks to trail industry averages, the research company said.

“We’ve noticed that ExxonMobil’s greenfield investments have been virtually non-existent since 2014,” Fitzsimmons said, adding that their only major greenfield project approval since 2015 was the $4.4 billion Liza Phase 1 FPSO project in Guyana.

However, the outlook is not all glum for the world’s largest IOC, and Rystad Energy noted that ExxonMobil has improved its greenfield cost performance since 2014 as it gears up to take on the challenge put forth by the company CEO to double earnings by 2025.

Looking to build on recent success, BP, Eni and Shell have all been aggressively approving greenfield projects during the downturn.

Since 2015, the trio have approved some $64 billion worth of greenfield projects. BP alone approved over $27.6 billion of projects during the recent downturn.

“BP’s best-in-class lifting costs from 2017 of below $6 per producing barrel should give investors confidence when all these new projects come on-line,” Fitzsimmons said.

“Eni’s recent $25.4 billion greenfield approvals have exclusively been to bolster its offshore portfolio. The company’s investments in several mega offshore projects, such as Coral FLNG, Sankofa East FPSO and three phases of Zohr, are good news in relation to the offshore industry’s attempt to rebound,” he said.

Collectively, majors are on pace to approve over $37 billion in projects during the calendar year. Over 30 percent ($12 billion) of those were approved during the second quarter.

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